Tipster claims: what to verify before you trust a record
To judge a tipster's claimed results, check ten things: the period, number of bets, odds used, ROI method, strike rate with prices, staking, third-party record, losing runs, dates and what is sold. If the period, the odds or the record's holder cannot be confirmed, treat the claim as unverified. This site gives no tips and recommends no tipster. Checked 13 November 2026.
How to read a claim
A claimed record is a set of numbers someone chose to show you. The checks below ask what sits behind them. Every example on this page uses invented figures to show the arithmetic, and none is a real record.
Two terms matter. Strike rate is winning bets divided by all bets. Return on investment (ROI) is profit divided by total staked.
Where this stands: the two definitions are standard arithmetic; the definitions' source page is still to be recorded.
The ten checks
- Period. Are start and end dates given, and can you see the whole period, not a chosen stretch?
- Number of bets. How many bets make up the record? A small count can be luck.
- Odds used. Were the prices ones you could have taken at the time, or prices seen after the event?
- ROI method. Is it profit divided by total staked? Check the staked total, not only the winners.
- Strike rate with prices. A strike rate alone hides how much winners paid.
- Staking. Was it level or varied? Changing stakes can change the headline.
- Third-party record. Can someone other than the seller confirm the bets and their dates?
- Losing runs. Are bad weeks shown or left out?
- Dates. Can you check each date against a public result?
- What is sold. Is the record used to sell a subscription or a betting offer?
If checks 1, 3 or 7 cannot be answered, treat the record as not confirmed.
Where this stands: ten checks are on file; each can be answered from the claim itself or from a public result.
Worked example with invented numbers
| Item | Record A | Record B |
|---|---|---|
| Bets | 200 at A$10 | 20 at A$10 |
| Winners | 52 | 1, at decimal odds 21.00 |
| Total staked | A$2,000 | A$200 |
| Total returned | A$2,160 | A$210 |
| Profit | A$160 | A$10 |
| ROI (profit ÷ staked) | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| Strike rate | 26% | 5% |
Record B shows a positive ROI from one lucky result. Twenty bets are too few to tell skill from chance. Record A has more bets, but 200 bets at one set of prices still tells you nothing about the next bet.
Where this stands: both records are made up, and both show why ROI needs the count of bets beside it.
What the rules say about claims
The Australian Consumer Law bars misleading conduct (s 18) and false testimonials (s 29(1)(e) and (f)). Fines under s 224 can be very large, but the sources read here do not apply them to tipsters specifically, so treat the link as general.
The AANA Wagering Advertising Code leaves out tipping services from third parties that are not licensed operators. Other advertising rules, such as the Code of Ethics, still apply.
Whether a given tipster is covered is Not confirmed on 2026-11-13.
ACCC's Scamwatch pages and Ad Standards' pages are the places to look; the ACCC site returned status 403 when read for the brief, so no guidance from it is quoted here.
Where this stands: general consumer law applies to claims; coverage of tipsters by the wagering code is Not confirmed.
What this site does not do
It does not publish tips, forecasts or a list of tipsters, and it does not rate them.
Reading form is a separate skill, covered in form guides for racing. Before you spend money, run the twelve checks on the bookmaker and see the warning signs of an unlicensed site.
Set a limit first: setting a deposit limit.
Where this stands: this site names no tipster and no forecast.
Sources
18+ and where to get help
18+ only. Gambling can be harmful. Need help? Call Gambling Help Online on 1800 858 858 (free, 24/7) or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au. To exclude yourself from licensed Australian online and phone wagering providers, register with BetStop at betstop.gov.au.
We are not a bookmaker and do not take bets.
FAQ
What is a strike rate?
It is the share of bets that won: winning bets divided by all bets. In an illustrative record of 52 winners from 200 bets it is 26 per cent. It says nothing about profit, because winners can pay very different prices.
What is ROI in a tipster's record?
Return on investment is profit divided by total staked. In the same illustrative record, A$2,000 staked and A$2,160 returned gives a profit of A$160 and an ROI of 8.0 per cent.
How many bets make a record meaningful?
This page names no threshold, because none has been sourced. It shows how a small record misleads: one winner at 21.00 from 20 bets can show a 5.0 per cent ROI.
Does this site recommend tipsters?
No. It does not give tips, forecasts or tipster recommendations. It lists what to check in a claim.
Where do I report misleading claims?
The brief names the ACCC's Scamwatch and Ad Standards as the places to look. We have not read their current pages for this edition, so what each accepts is Not confirmed on 2026-11-13.